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NYC Mayoral Polling Update (YFNY RELEASES NEW INTERNAL POLL)

发布时间:2021-05-08 21:07:08 来源:纽约在线传媒 浏览:7931 次

The Yang for New York campaign conducted a poll of 824 likely Democratic primary voters in New York City from April 20th to April 27th, 2021 on the mayoral race. This poll was suspended due to breaking news about Scott Stringer’s alleged sexual misconduct toward Jean Kim, and subsequently refielded to survey an additional 844 likely Democratic primary voters from May 3rd to May 6th, 2021 after extensive media coverage of Stringer’s behavior and many Stringer endorsers rescinding their support. In total, 1668 likely Democratic primary voters in New York City were polled.

1393 respondents were asked about their preference for mayor, with 21% selecting Andrew Yang as their first choice. Stringer remains only mildly impacted by his allegations, receiving 15% of first-choice votes, followed by Adams at 11%. Notably, Ray McGuire has broken double-digits for the first time in our polling, passing Maya Wiley to move into fourth place with 10% of first-choice votes. All other candidates remain in single-digit support.

Corresponding toplines available here

Yang remains the only candidate with a multiracial, multi-borough, and multigenerational coalition of support. He remains the clear frontrunner among both Asian (45%) and Hispanic (26%) voters with double-digit leads over his rivals. Yang splits white voters with Stringer 17% to 23%, while Black voters are split three ways between Adams (22%), Yang (20%), and McGuire (17%). Yang is the only candidate with double-digit support in every age group and every borough.

As an experiment in the wake of the Stringer scandal, we also tested a mayoral horserace without Stringer’s name listed, in order to project voter behavior in the event that Stringer drops out of the race. 275 respondents were asked about this horserace.

Crosstabs available here
The chief beneficiaries in the absence of Stringer are Yang (+6) and Donovan (+4), with other candidates relatively unchanged in their vote share.

Slingshot Strategies conducted a multimodal poll with a random representative sample of 1668 registered, likely Democratic primary voters from April 20-27 and May 3-6, 2021. Sample breakdown by borough was 31% Brooklyn, 29% Manhattan, 22% Queens, 13% Bronx, 5% Staten Island.    


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